In short, the post-Cold War security order that the US had constructed after 1991 seemed to be coming apart at the seams. He describes it as a potential proto-insurgency. "Police say 30 officers have been hurt, and one who was hit by a pickup truck has been hospitalized for a broken leg. Try AlterNet All-Access for just $1. Every reader contribution, whatever the amount, makes a tremendous difference. Journalist Matthew Gault, in an article published by Vice this week, wonders if the political divisions in the United States run so deep that the country is headed for another civil war. ", Gault adds, "We have a sect of the president's supporters who have vowed to show up at polling places armed. David Kilcullen, former Chief Strategist in the State Department’s Office of the Coordinator of Counterterrorism helped plan the successful “surge” in Iraq. Many of them, overwhelmingly from one side, are armed, and violence and death has resulted when these two sides have clashed. "Police kill unarmed people in the street, the government is polarized and corrupt, and our institutions are failing. And we’re proud to say that we’ve been bringing you the real, unfiltered news for 20 years—longer than any other progressive news site on the Internet. : £10.00. In his book, Kilcullen seeks to lay down a sound and practical framework to counter the guerrilla movements and make an analysis of the guerrilla warfare in the post-Cold War era. Adam Isacson of WOLA — a group that promotes human rights in Latin America — told Gault that a civil war in the U.S. might resemble the one that occurred in Colombia, where the conflict didn't occur throughout the entire country. Kilcullen is a former soldier and diplomat, and a scholar of guerrilla warfare, terrorism, urbanisation and the future of conflict, who served 25 years for the Australian and United States governments. "Police kill unarmed people in the street, the government is polarized and corrupt, and our institutions are failing. A resurgent and bellicose Russia took over Crimea and fueled a civil war in Eastern Ukraine. You won’t find mainstream media bias here. It identifies an operating environment heavily influenced by globalizationand the United States' conventional military dominance. 1 KILCULLEN, David, Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla, (Oxford, Oxford University Press), 2013, p. 15 2 Ibid, p. 15. Support Truth. Gault goes on to note that as if everything else that has occurred in 2020 weren't enough, Philadelphia erupted in violence the week before the presidential election following the fatal shooting of Walter Wallace, Jr. — a 27-year-old African-American man — by police. "Police say 30 officers have been hurt, and one who was hit by a pickup truck has been hospitalized for a broken leg. We need your support to do what we do. Isacson told Gault, "You realize that even in this horrible period for Colombia, for most of the country, this conflict was just something you saw on television. Like you, we believe in the power of progressive journalism — and we’re investing in investigative reporting as other publications give it the ax. New: Shop to Support Independent Journalism, 'Signs of a coming conflict are everywhere': Why a 2nd Civil War would be quite different from the 1st, Make a one-time contribution to Raw Story Investigates. And unlike other news outlets, we’ve decided to make our original content free. AlterNet’s journalists work tirelessly to counter the traditional corporate media narrative. Because people think they're good, and they can justify incredible atrocious violence to themselves on the basis that it is defensive….. You need a belief that some other group is encroaching on your territory. Kilcullen is worried about the United States' future, telling Gault, "The worst atrocities come from fear, not hate. I have seen systems collapse. Unhinged from corporate overlords, we fight to ensure no one is forgotten. As William Rosenau of RAND recently observed, insurgency and counterinsurgency…have enjoyed a level of military, academic, and … I'd say there's a real danger that (the U.S.) is going to see sustained political violence.". Indeed, his vision of modern warfare powerfully influenced America’s decision to rethink its military strategy in Iraq and implement “the Surge,” now recognized as a dramatic success. streets.". … then let us make a small request. … then let us make a small request. – Alternet.org ›, How Fox News has been encouraging America's extremists hoping ... ›, Is a second American civil war really possible? After the George W. Bush Administration left office, he joined former Ambassador Hank Crumpton in forming a consultancy, the Crumpton Group , and also is a member of the Center for a New American Security . In Blood Year, he provides a wide-angle view of the current situation in the Middle East and analyzes how … David Kilcullen was one of the architects of America's strategy in the late phases of the second Gulf War, and also spent time in Afghanistan and other hotspots. David Kilcullen was an Australian infantry officer with tours in East Timor and Iraq. In his book, Kilcullen seeks to lay down a sound and practical framework to counter the guerrilla movements and make an analysis of the guerrilla warfare in the post-Cold War era. In Blood Year, he provides a wide-angle view of the current situation in the Middle East and analyzes how … Kilcullen doesn’t consider a new U.S. civil war likely but admits it is possible. David Kilcullen was one of the architects of America's strategy in the late phases of the second Gulf War, and also spent time in Afghanistan and other hotspots. @2021 - AlterNet Media Inc. All Rights Reserved. ... Further, the infantry-centric nature of the Nigerian Army's battalions, traceable all the way back to the Civil War in Nigeria back in the 1960s, is reflected in the kinetic nature of the Army's contemporary COIN approach. Kilcullen doesn’t consider a new U.S. civil war likely but admits it is possible. Kilcullen uses the example of three 21st century battles to help explain what happened, why it happened, and possible solutions for winning the battle or—at the very least—mitigating the damage … Raw Story readers power David Cay Johnston’s DCReport, which we've expanded to keep watch in Washington. “ Iraq war stupid, Aussie David Kilcullen tells US “, The Australian, 2 August 2008 — The media kicks sand in our eyes to obscure our view of these things. When that is an occurrence that is common in more than one location in the country, that's a civil war. In Blood Year , he provides a wide-angle view of the current situation in the Middle East and analyzes how America and the West ended up in such dire circumstances. By David Kilcullen. Ted Cruz and Josh Hawley resign  — or be removed, Trey Gowdy rattles Fox News host by saying Trump incited riot: 'Did you listen to the president's speech? Everything I've seen and everything I've read over the past two years has convinced me that the United States is closer to that kind of terror than anyone is willing to admit.". 2 See David Kilcullen, ‘Countering Global Insurgency’, The Journal of Strategic Studies, vol. He seemed most concerned with a new jihadi strategy, outlined in The Management of Savagery , a book that was basically the blueprint ISIS used to build their McMansion of Suffering. The outbreak of the civil war, however, wouldn't look all that different from the normal news cycle, at first. In Blood Year, he provides a wide-angle view of the current situation in the Middle East and analyzes how America and the West ended up in such dire circumstances. We specifically drafted the Articles with a goal of gaining GOP support. ", According to Evans, "To most people, the idea of a second American Civil War feels more like science fiction than a possible future…. Everything I've seen and everything I've read over the past two years has convinced me that the United States is closer to that kind of terror than anyone is willing to admit.". Kilcullen is also a professor of practice in the School of Politics and Global Studies at Arizona State University, where he teaches in the Global Security program. A "mid-level player in some of the key events of the past decade" delivers a dispassionate, discouraging analysis of how the Western counterterrorism effort has gone so terribly wrong. Guest host Murtaza Hussain is joined by military expert David Kilcullen and Indian author Pankaj Mishra. From: Empire David Kilcullen: ‘Syria’s breaking point’ Counterinsurgency expert David Kilcullen discusses the effects of foreign fighters on the Syrian civil war. 'It's time to get violent': Far-right extremists are promising more violence after the U.S. Capitol invasion, Marketing firm employee fired after wearing company badge while breaching US Capitol, Trump lawyer suddenly repudiates the president — says he was used to 'perpetrate a crime', New report reveals some of Trump's closest aides think he's become 'mentally unreachable', Newly sworn-in West Virginia lawmaker live-streamed his participation in pro-Trump mob that stormed Capitol, Josh Hawley's mentor says supporting the senator was the 'biggest mistake I’ve ever made', Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez demands Sens. Dr David J. Kilcullen Chief Strategist, Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, U.S. Department of State. We’ve exposed billionaire tax evasion and uncovered White House efforts to poison our water. Like you, we here at Raw Story believe in the power of progressive journalism. Evans told Gault, "We are in a state of civil war whenever, in more than one geographical location in the United States, it becomes commonplace for multiple non-state armed groups to fight each other with deadly force. Armed militias patrol U.S. An insurgency is more likely — a period of sustained and distributed conflict where non-state actors carry out violence to achieve a political goal. David Kilcullen was one of the architects of America's strategy in the late phases of the second Gulf War, and also spent time in Afghanistan and other hotspots. His newest book takes us away from the remote, rural guerrilla warfare of Afghanistan, and into the marginalized slums and complex security threats of the world's coastal cities. Did you enjoy content from David Cay Johnston, Common Dreams, Raw Story and Robert Reich? David Kilcullen is one of the world’s most influential experts on counterinsurgency and modern warfare, a ground-breaking theorist whose ideas “are revolutionizing military thinking throughout the west” (Washington Post). 2 See David Kilcullen, ‘Countering Global Insurgency’, The Journal of Strategic Studies, vol. 28, no. Counterinsurgency expert David Kilcullen on "the extreme worst-case scenario" after a disputed election: Civil war By Chauncey DeVega November 2, 2020 12:00PM (UTC) Invest with us. Raw Story is independent. 28, no. Dr. David Kilcullen is a former soldier and diplomat, and a scholar of guerrilla warfare, terrorism, urbanisation and the future of conflict, who served 25 years for the Australian and United States governments. Kilcullen is worried about the United States’ future, telling Gault, “The worst atrocities come from fear, not hate. Want to support our progressive journalism? David Kilcullen is the world's foremost expert on this way of war, and in The Accidental Guerrilla, the Senior Counterinsurgency Advisor to the Pentagon and architect of 'the Surge', surveys war as it is actually fought in the contemporary world. It’s through the generosity of our supporters that we’re able to share with you all the underreported news you need to know. Three Pillars of Counter Insurgency. We urge Republicans to join us. Evans told Gault, "We are in a state of civil war whenever, in more than one geographical location in the United States, it becomes commonplace for multiple non-state armed groups to fight each other with deadly force. Certainly, the U.S. has had plenty of unrest in the past, from riots and assassinations during the 1960s to the Los Angeles riots in 1992. The signs of a coming conflict are everywhere.". David Kilcullen is the award-winning author of Accidental Guerrilla (2009) and Counterinsurgency (2010) and now Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla (2013). Armed militias patrol U.S. Analysis by The Conversation? Invest with us in the future. ", Gault also interviewed journalist Robert Evans, known for his reporting on conflicts in Syria, Iraq and Ukraine. More than one location in the country, that 's a civil war and david kilcullen civil war of the world s. Is increasingly imperiled ; ads alone can ’ t consider a new civil! In short, the post-Cold war security order that the US Army worked... Dreams, Raw Story hold those in power accountable for just $ 1 we ’ ve revealed financial that! The Iraq war was “ f * cking stupid ” become a subscriber you... And I would not have approved it if he had, I would not have it. Story Investigates, or click here to become a subscriber are armed, and violence and death has resulted these. 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